Economic policy uncertainty of China and investment opportunities: a tale of ASEAN stock markets

Authors

  • Hassanudin Mohd Thas Thaker Faculty of Business and Management, UCSI University, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; Sunway University, Subang Jaya, Malaysia
  • Mohamed Asmy Mohd Thas Thaker Kulliyyah of Economics and Management Sciences, International Islamic University Malaysia (IIUM), Subang Jaya, Malaysia
  • Muhammad Rizky Prima Sakti University College Bahrain (UCB), Manama, Bahrain
  • Imtiaz Sifat Institute for Management Research, Radboud University, Nijmegen, The Netherlands
  • Anwar Allah Pitchay School of Management, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Gelugor, Malaysia
  • Hafezali Iqbal Hussain Taylor’s University, Subang Jayax, Malaysia; University of Economics and Human Sciences, Warsaw, Poland

Keywords:

Economic policy uncertainty, Investment, ASEAN markets, Stock markets, GARCH, Wavelet

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of China on investment opportunities in five ASEAN economies.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper employs advanced empirical approaches, such as Multivariate DCC-GARCH and Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) to test the research objective. The period of analysis involved monthly data from 2003 until 2019.

Findings

This paper provides evidence where the Malaysian stock market to be the least exposed to risks emanating from Chinese EPU, followed by Singapore, the Philippines, Thailand and Indonesia. Results for investment opportunities based on time horizon suggest, for a short-term holding period, investors are better off investing in Singapore and Indonesia, while, for medium-term holding periods, all ASEAN markets appear lucrative except for the Philippines.

Practical implications

From a managerial perspective, the outcome or findings of this study are expected to aid the retail and institutional investors in designing better strategies on diversifying a stock portfolio with different holding periods.

Originality/value

Theoretically, the findings of this study contribute fresh insights into an emerging strand of literature focusing on the transmission of regional policy. Methodologically as well, this study is a novel venture to the best of authors' knowledge.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JEFAS-04-2021-0032

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Published

2022-12-13

How to Cite

Thas Thaker, H. M., Mohd Thas Thaker, M. A., Prima Sakti, M. R., Sifat, I., Allah Pitchay, A., & Iqbal Hussain, H. (2022). Economic policy uncertainty of China and investment opportunities: a tale of ASEAN stock markets. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 27(54), 277–293. Retrieved from https://revistas.esan.edu.pe/index.php/jefas/article/view/635

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