Risk-managed time-series momentum: an emerging economy experience

Authors

  • Simarjeet Singh Great Lakes Institute of Management, Gurugram, India
  • Nidhi Walia Punjabi University, Patiala, India
  • Stelios Bekiros University of Malta, Msida, Malta
  • Arushi Gupta IIT Madras, Chennai, India
  • Jigyasu Kumar Indian School of Business, Hyderabad, India
  • Amar Kumar Mishra Graphic Era Deemed to be University, Dehradun, India

Keywords:

Time-series momentum, Risk-managed time-series momentum, Indian stock market

Abstract

Purpose

This research study aims to design a novel risk-managed time-series momentum approach. The present study also examines the time-series momentum effect in the Indian equity market. Apart from this, the study also proposes a novel risk-managed time-series momentum approach.

Design/methodology/approach

The study considers the adjusted monthly closing prices of the stocks listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange from January 1996 to December 2020 to formulate long-short portfolios. Newey–West t statistics were used to test the significance of momentum returns. The present research has considered standard risk factors, i.e. market, size and value, to evaluate the risk-adjusted performance of time-series momentum portfolios.

Findings

The present research reports a substantial absolute momentum effect in the Indian equity market. However, absolute momentum strategies are exposed to occasional severe losses. The proposed time-series momentum approach not only yields 2.5 times higher return than the standard time-series momentum approach but also causes substantial enhancement in downside risks and higher-order moments.

Practical implications

The study's outcomes offer valuable insights for professional investors, capital market regulators and asset management companies.

Originality/value

This study is one of the pioneers attempting to test the time-series momentum effect in emerging economies. Besides, current research contributes to the escalating literature on risk-managed momentum by suggesting a novel revised time-series momentum approach.

DOI:  https://doi.org/10.1108/JEFAS-08-2021-0159

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Published

2022-12-13

How to Cite

Singh, S., Walia, N., Bekiros, S., Gupta, A., Kumar, J., & Kumar Mishra, A. (2022). Risk-managed time-series momentum: an emerging economy experience. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 27(54), 328–343. Retrieved from https://revistas.esan.edu.pe/index.php/jefas/article/view/638