Behavioural finance: the decoy effect on stock investment decisions
Keywords:
Behavioural finance, Decoy effect, Investment decisionsAbstract
PurposeThis study aims to investigate the occurrence of the decoy effect in stock investment decisions based on fundamental analysis.
Design/methodology/approachIn this study, the decoy effect was investigated by applying two questionnaires, one of them with the presence of a decoy alternative, to a set of 224 respondents with knowledge of business fundamentals, simulating investment decisions in stocks of companies listed on the Brazilian Stock Exchange. The data analysis was performed using the Fisher's exact test, Student's t-test and ANOVA. The research also aimed to detect a potential relationship between the variables gender, age, degree and professional experience with the type of decision made.
FindingsThe results pointed to the occurrence of the decoy effect when analysing the general response data. However, such evidence was not confirmed when the sample was analysed by classes (gender, course, age and professional experience). There is no statistical evidence that the decoy effect influences classes.
Originality/valueThe recent decoy effect literature is little explored in investment decision-making. This study is unique in examining the decoy effect in investment decisions in the Brazilian context.
Downloads
References
Ariely, D. (2008), Predictably Irrational. The Hidden Forces that Shape Our Decisions, Harper, New York, NY.
Ariely, D. and Wallsten, T.S. (1995), “Seeking subjective dominance in multidimensional space: an explanation of the asymmetric dominance effect”, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision, Vol. 63 No. 3, pp. 223-232, doi: 10.1006/obhd.1995.1075.
Bateman, I.J., Munro, A. and Poe, G.L. (2008), “Decoy effects in choice experiments and contingent valuation: asymmetric dominance”, Land Economics, Vol. 8 No. 1, pp. 115-127, doi: 10.3368/le.84.1.115.
Bouteska, A. and Regaieg, B. (2020), “Loss aversion, the overconfidence of investors and their impact on market performance evidence from the US stock markets”, Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Vol. 25 No. 50, pp. 451-478, doi: 10.1108/JEFAS-07-2017-0081.
Camargos, M.A. and Barbosa, F.V. (2003), “Teoria e evidência da eficiência informacional do mercado de capitais brasileiro”, Caderno de Pesquisa em Administração, Vol. 10 No. 1, pp. 41-55.
Castro Junior, F.H.F. and Famá, R. (2002), “As novas finanças e a teoria comportamental no contexto da tomada de decisão sobre investimentos”, Caderno de Pesquisas em Administração, Vol. 9 No. 2, pp. 25-35.
Chagas, A.T.R. (2000), “O questionário na pesquisa científica”, Revista Administração On Line, Vol. 1 No. 1, pp. 1-14.
Damodaran, A. (2002), Avaliação de investimentos: ferramentas e técnicas para determinação do valor de qualquer ativo, Qualitymark, Rio de Janeiro.
Doyle, J.R., O'Connor, D.J., Reynolds, G.M. and Bottomley, P.A. (1999), “The robustness of the asymmetrically dominated effect: buying frames, phantom alternatives, and in-store purchases”, Psychology and Marketing, Vol. 16, pp. 225-243, doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1520-6793(199905)16:3<225:AID-MAR3>3.0.CO;2-X.
Edmans, A., Fernandez-Perez, A., Garel, A. and Indriawan, I. (2022), “Music sentiment and stock returns around the world”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 145 No. 2, pp. 234-254, doi: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.08.014.
Fama, E.F. (1970), “Efficient capital markets: a review of theory and empirical work”, Journal of Finance, Vol. 25 No. 2, pp. 383-417, doi: 10.2307/2325486.
Forti, C.A.B., Peixoto, F.M. and Santiago, W.P. (2009), “Hipótese da eficiência de mercado: Um estudo exploratório no mercado de capitais brasileiro”, Gestão e Regionalidade, Vol. 25 No. 75, pp. 45-56, doi: 10.13037/gr.vol25n75.188.
Fox, J. (2009), The Myth of the Rational Market, Harper, New York.
Fukushi, M., Guevara, C.A. and Maldonado, S. (2021), “A discrete choice modeling approach to measure susceptibility and subjective valuation of the decoy effect, with an application to route choice”, Journal of Choice Modelling, Vol. 38, 100256, doi: 10.1016/j.jocm.2020.100256.
Halfeld, M. and Torres, F.F.L. (2001), “Finanças comportamentais: aplicações no contexto brasileiro”, Revista de Administração de Empresas, Vol. 41 No. 2, pp. 64-71.
Highhouse, S. (1996), “Context-dependent selection: the effects of decoy and phantom job candidates”, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Vol. 65 No. 1, pp. 68-76, doi: 10.1006/obhd.1996.0006.
Isidore, R.R. and Christie, P. (2019), “The relationship between the income and behavioural biases”, Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Vol. 24 No. 47, pp. 127-144, doi: 10.1108/JEFAS-10-2018-0111.
Kahneman, D. and Tversky, A. (1979), “Prospect Theory: an analysis of decision under risk”, Econometrica, Vol. 47 No. 2, pp. 263-291, doi: 10.2307/1914185.
Leão, G.A. and Fajardo, B.G. (2019), “Decision-making cognitive bias in the labor market: an approach on the anchor and decoy effects”, Revista de Gestão dos Países de Língua Portuguesa, Vol. 18 No. 1, pp. 1-14, doi: 10.12660/rgplp.v18n1.2019.78457.
Lintner, J. (1965), “The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 47 No. 1, pp. 13-37, doi: 10.2307/1924119.
Lobão, J. (2019), “Seasonal anomalies in the market for American depository receipts”, Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Vol. 24 No. 48, pp. 241-265, doi: 10.1108/JEFAS-09-2018-0088.
Malta, L.T. and Camargos, M.A. (2016), “Variáveis da análise fundamentalista e dinâmica e o retorno acionário de empresas brasileiras entre 2007 e 2014”, REGE – Revista de Gestão, Vol. 23 No. 1, pp. 52-62, doi: 10.1016/j.rege.2015.09.001.
Morgan, M.S. (2006), “Economic man as model man: ideal types, idealization and caricatures”, Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Vol. 28 No. 01, pp. 1-27, doi: 10.1080/10427710500509763.
Oliveira, R.L. and Krauter, E. (2015), “Teoria do prospecto: como as finanças comportamentais podem explicar a tomada de decisão”, Pretexto, Vol. 16 No. 3, pp. 106-121, doi: 10.21714/pretexto.v16i3.1863.
Oliveira, J.F., Viana Junior, D.B.C., Ponte, V.M.R. and Dominigos, S.R.M. (2017), “Indicadores de desempenho e valor de mercado: uma análise nas empresas listadas na BM&FBovespa”, Revista Ambiente Contabil, Vol. 9 No. 2, pp. 240-258, doi: 10.21680/2176-9036.2017v9n2ID10787.
Oprean, C. and Tanasescu, C. (2014), “Effects of behavioural finance on emerging capital markets”, Procedia Economics and Finance, Vol. 15, pp. 1710-1716, doi: 10.1016/S2212-5671(14)00645-5.
O'Boyle, E.J. (2007), “Requiem for homo economicus”, Journal of Markets and Morality, Vol. 10 No. 2, pp. 321-337.
Paris, B. (2012), “The decoy effect and investors' stock preferences”, Honors Theses and Capstones, Vol. 12.
Rakitta, M. and Wernery, J. (2021), “Cognitive biases in building energy decisions”, Sustainability, Vol. 13 No. 17, p. 9960, doi: 10.3390/su13179960.
Schwert, G.W. (2003), “Anomalies and market efficiency”, in Constantinides, G.M., Harris, M. and Stulz, R. (Eds), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, Elsevier, New York, NY, Vol. 2, pp. 937-972.
Sharpe, W.F. (1964), “Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk”, The Journal of Finance, Vol. 19 No. 3, pp. 425-442, doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1964.tb02865.x.
Shefrin, H. (2002), Beyond Greed and Fear: Understanding Behavioral Finance and the Psychology of Investing, Oxford University Press, New York, NY, p. 359, doi: 10.1093/0195161211.001.0001.
Shiller, R.J. (2002), “From efficient market theory to behavioral finance”, Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper, 1385, October.
Silva, C.A.T. and Serpa, S.A.F.A. (2012), “O efeito chamariz nas decisões de investimento”, Revista de Administração FACES, Vol. 11 No. 1, pp. 48-65, doi: 10.21714/1984-6975FACES2012V11N1ART1130.
Silva, P.V.J.G., Santos, J.B. and Pereira, G.P. (2018), “Behavioral finance in Brazil: a bibliometric study from 2007 to 2017”, Latin American Business Review, Vol. 20 No. 1, doi: 10.1080/10978526.2019.1578177.
Souza, M.L. (2017), “Finanças comportamentais: um estudo das publicações no Enanpad no período de 2003 a 2013”, Conhecimento Interativo, Vol. 11 No. 1, pp. 59-74.
Souza, H.E., Barbedo, C.H.S. and Araújo, G.S. (2018), “Does investor attention affect trading volume in the Brazilian stock market?”, Research in International Business and Finance, Vol. 44, pp. 480-487, doi: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.118.
Tversky, A. and Simonson, I. (1993), “Context-dependent preferences”, Management Science, Vol. 39 No. 10, pp. 1179-1189, doi: 10.1287/mnsc.39.10.1179.
Wedell, D.H. (1991), “Distinguishing among models of contextually induced preference reversals”, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, Vol. 17 No. 4, pp. 767-778, doi: 10.1037/0278-7393.17.4.767.
Wu, L., Liu, P., Chen, X., Hu, W., Fan, X. and Chen, Y. (2020), “Decoy effect in food appearance, traceability, and price: case of consumer preference for pork hindquarters”, Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, Vol. 87, 101553, doi: 10.1016/j.socec.2020.101553.
Wu, L., Liu, P., Chen, X., Hu, W. and Fan, X. (2021), “Contents of product attributes and the decoy effect: a study on traceable pork from the perspective of consumer utility”, Managerial and Decision Economics, Vol. 42 No. 4, pp. 974-984, doi: 10.1002/mde.3286.
Zabieglik, S. (2002), “The origins of the term homo economicus”, Economics and Values, pp. 123-130.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Bruno Uekane Okumura, Tabajara Pimenta Junior, Marcia Mitie Durante Maemura, Luiz Eduardo Gaio, Rafael Confetti Gatsios
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.